TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:13h:45m
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This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Aarhus GF and SC Braga. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, and has specific rules for postponements and cancellations.
In the upcoming match between Aarhus GF and SC Braga, scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Aarhus GF" if Aarhus GF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SC Braga" if SC Braga are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Aarhus GF and SC Braga, scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Aarhus GF" if Aarhus GF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SC Braga" if SC Braga are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets incorporate a wider range of information and sentiment. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may more quickly adapt to new information or account for factors that sportsbooks overlook. It’s possible to find arbitrage opportunities by comparing the implied probabilities between this market and sportsbook offerings, though transaction costs and platform fees should be considered.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Predict can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility and divergence. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price discovery – how traders place bets and update their predictions – may differ slightly between Polymarket and Predict, contributing to these observed price variations. Currently, Polymarket currently favors SC Braga to score first at 55.0%, while Predict leans toward Aarhus GF.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by which team—Aarhus GF or SC Braga—scores the first goal in the match. Official match data will be used to verify the result. The outcome of this market is based on the official record of the game, and the resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective. The current volume is $0.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves around Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Aarhus GF or SC Braga would likely have a significant impact. Team form leading up to the match, including recent results and tactical changes, could also shift predictions. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could affect playing style and potentially influence which team scores first. Finally, any major shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the likely outcome of the match could cause traders to adjust their positions, moving the market accordingly.