TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:16h:20m
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In the upcoming match between Aarhus GF and AC Horsens, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Aarhus GF" if Aarhus GF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AC Horsens" if AC Horsens are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Aarhus GF and AC Horsens, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Aarhus GF" if Aarhus GF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AC Horsens" if AC Horsens are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a team’s chances, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a large amount of volume is traded, as information asymmetry exists between the two venues. Observing these differences can provide insights into public perception versus professional analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe AC Horsens will score first, for example, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it, providing a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the Aarhus GF vs. AC Horsens match. Official match reports and data from reputable sports news sources will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, finalizing the market and distributing payouts to winning share holders.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the Nov 8, 2026 resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Aarhus GF or AC Horsens would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially affecting playing style, could play a role. Unexpected announcements relating to team tactics or managerial decisions might also cause movement in the market as traders react to new information.