TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 12:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Germany's third tier league. The result depends solely on the final score after the regulation 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The market covers all possible results of the match including a win for either team or a draw.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Aachen vs Viktoria Cologne professional German 3. Liga soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, determined after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome corresponds to the specified team winning or the match ending in a tie, as indicated in each respective market. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve at a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or vice versa. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view of the potential result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. The goal is for the contract prices to converge towards the true probability of each outcome. The market efficiently incorporates information as traders react to news and analysis related to the teams involved.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Aachen vs Viktoria Cologne match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in team form could cause the odds to move. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team over another. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators can impact trading activity and, consequently, the prices within this market. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly affect trader confidence and market prices.