TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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AA Ponte Preta vs. Fortaleza EC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of AA Ponte Preta vs. Fortaleza EC?

Volume:
$674,393

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 7:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$85,217
N/A
N/A
$37,492
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (AA Ponte Preta vs. Fortaleza EC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,342
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ponte Preta

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$306,236
N/A
N/A
$133,035
Settled
No
polymarket

AA Ponte Preta

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$159,177
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Fortaleza

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88,495
N/A
N/A
$53,067
Settled
No
polymarket

Fortaleza EC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,926
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Brasileiro Serie B soccer match between AA Ponte Preta and Fortaleza EC scheduled for October 24, 2026. Markets exist for either team winning or the game ending in a draw, all determined within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves to 'No' on cancellation, while Kalshi lacks this specific rule.Hero tip: Factor in the possibility of game cancellation when trading, as Polymarket will resolve to 'No' in that scenario, while Kalshi's resolution is less defined.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official data is unavailable within 24 hours. "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'No'."
  • Kalshi: No explicit cancellation handling is stated. Resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game doesn't occur, Kalshi will likely resolve based on the most likely outcome based on available information. "If Tie is the result...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between AA Ponte Preta and Fortaleza EC.

Kalshi

The event involves three possible outcomes for the Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza Brazilian Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026: Ponte Preta win, Fortaleza win, or a tie, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if that specific result occurs. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In cases where the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following defined procedures. The rules explicitly state that extra time and penalty shootouts are not considered for resolution purposes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, such as those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks primarily aim to balance their books and profit from margins, while prediction markets incentivize participants to express their genuine beliefs. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate assessment of probabilities, particularly when a large and informed trading volume exists. However, sportsbook odds can incorporate factors like public perception and promotional offers, creating discrepancies. The current volume on this market is $674,393, which may influence how closely it tracks sportsbook lines.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi for the Ponte Preta vs. Fortaleza match can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Furthermore, the trading mechanisms and fee structures on Polymarket and Kalshi are not identical, influencing how participants behave. Market design choices, such as order types and liquidity provisions, also contribute to price discovery. The 24-hour volume for this market is $582,563, and differing volumes on each platform can amplify these price discrepancies, reflecting unique market dynamics.