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$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

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40,428

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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AA Ponte Preta vs. AC Goianiense
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of AA Ponte Preta vs. AC Goianiense?

Volume:
$1,688,720

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 8:28 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$395,615
N/A
N/A
$118,194
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (AA Ponte Preta vs. AC Goianiense)

100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,322
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ponte Preta

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$701,330
N/A
N/A
$296,873
Settled
No
polymarket

AA Ponte Preta

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70,936
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

AC Goianiense

0%
76%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$379,662
N/A
N/A
$228,066
Settled
No
polymarket

AC Goianiense

0%
72%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$117,856
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of a draw in the Brasileiro Serie B soccer match between AA Ponte Preta and AC Goianiense. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, as aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official statistics from the CBF (https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-b). Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 16, 2026, to see if this forecast holds as the game progresses through 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi define resolution based on the same core criteria: the outcome of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with similar fallback procedures for data sourcing.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (CBF - https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-b).

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the result within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Unavailability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore will be used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or sooner if official data is readily available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Friday, October 16, 2026 between AA Ponte Preta and AC Goianiense.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Ponte Preta vs AC Goianiense professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Ponte Preta wins, the 'Ponte Preta' market resolves to Yes. If AC Goianiense wins, the 'AC Goianiense' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing risk, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. The current volume of $1,688,720 suggests significant interest in this market, which may influence how closely its probabilities align with those offered by sportsbooks.