TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 10:43 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between AA Estudiantes and Racing Club, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AA Estudiantes" if AA Estudiantes are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Racing Club" if Racing Club are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between AA Estudiantes and Racing Club, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AA Estudiantes" if AA Estudiantes are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Racing Club" if Racing Club are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief and trade accordingly. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise among participants or the incorporation of unique data points not considered by sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of either Estudiantes or Racing Club scoring first. This dynamic pricing ensures the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Estudiantes vs. Racing Club match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be addressed based on publicly available data and established sporting regulations, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Estudiantes or Racing Club would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form based on recent match results, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or any controversies surrounding the match could lead to shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market.