TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 8:31 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between AA Argentinos Juniors and CA Tigre, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AA Argentinos Juniors" if AA Argentinos Juniors are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Tigre" if CA Tigre are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between AA Argentinos Juniors and CA Tigre, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AA Argentinos Juniors" if AA Argentinos Juniors are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Tigre" if CA Tigre are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals betting their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's strong public sentiment or information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information and potentially offer more accurate forecasts, though sportsbooks have their own advantages in terms of sophisticated modeling and risk management.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Argentinos Juniors or CA Tigre will score first. As more shares are bought for one outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability of that outcome rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the current market consensus, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome. The market’s efficiency depends on active participation and informed trading, with volume playing a key role in price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Argentinos Juniors vs. Tigre match. Official match reports and sources will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the outcome.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Argentinos Juniors or CA Tigre would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, such as recent match results or tactical adjustments, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role, potentially favoring one team’s playing style over the other. Finally, any significant public endorsements or analysis predicting a specific outcome could influence trading activity and move the price of shares in this market.