TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
76ers vs. Kings
Volume:
$9,861,592
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 19 at 10:00PM ET: If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers". If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Sacramento wins OR Philadelphia wins), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes (76ers, Kings, or tie/cancellation scenarios) with proper resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi market entirely — it is logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of the game result. Trade only on Polymarket markets, which have coherent resolution rules tied to actual game outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market states 'If Sacramento wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Philadelphia wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' meaning the market resolves YES for every possible outcome. This is a logical contradiction that violates basic market design principles and makes settlement impossible.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard NBA resolution logic: Polymarket structures the moneyline as a three-way outcome (76ers, Kings, or 50-50 in case of cancellation), with mutually exclusive resolution conditions tied to final game score. Spread and Over/Under markets use consistent threshold-based logic (e.g., '76ers win by 5 or more points' for -4.5 spread, '232 or more combined points' for O/U 231.5).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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