TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.3b
24H VOL:
$358,270,487
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,125,488
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,041,693,191
423,163
Markets across
39,982
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,387
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:32 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market group focuses on player performance statistics for the 49ers vs. Falcons football game. Markets cover passing yards, touchdowns, receptions, rushing yards, and first touchdown scorer for key players on both teams. The markets are primarily Over/Under style prop bets.
Player prop markets for the NFL game between the 49ers and Falcons, scheduled for October 25 at 1:00 PM ET.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if the player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half—including overtime—the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the game's kickoff unless the player meets or exceeds the specified passing yard threshold. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics, regardless of first-half participation. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event uses full-game passing yards including overtime.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the 49ers-Falcons player props market can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk tolerance and information access. Trading volume, currently at $7,740 overall, also impacts price discovery; lower volume on one platform can lead to wider spreads. Furthermore, differing market-making strategies and fee structures between Polymarket and Kalshi contribute to price discrepancies. These factors create opportunities for arbitrage, but also reflect the unique perspectives within each platform’s community.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could shift trader sentiment and alter the odds. Unexpected performance in other games leading up to the 49ers-Falcons matchup could also influence expectations. Major news events or public statements from key players or coaches could also trigger price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on opportunities within this market before it resolves.