TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Terrance McKinney
- Kalshi
Terrance McKinney - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 14, 2026
Time left: 12d:08h:47m
$
This event tracks the outcome of a professional MMA fight between two fighters scheduled for a specific date. The resolution depends on which fighter wins the match, with special conditions for draws or cancellations. The event operates independently of any official sports organization endorsements.
The event resolves based on the official result of the professional MMA fight between Jim Miller and Terrance McKinney scheduled for November 14, 2026. If Jim Miller wins, his market resolves to Yes, and Terrance McKinney’s market resolves to No, and vice versa if Terrance McKinney wins. If the fight ends in a draw or no contest, both markets resolve to $0.50 each. Post-expiration result changes, disqualifications, or removals do not affect resolution. If the fight is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the fight is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price. The event and associated markets are not endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship or UFC, and any references to these entities are purely descriptive.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks frequently incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit from the spread. This market, however, is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. As a result, the implied probabilities from Kalshi may differ from sportsbook lines, potentially offering opportunities for arbitrage or simply a different assessment of the fight’s potential results. It's common to see discrepancies based on differing information or analytical approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome of the Miller vs McKinney fight. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their predictions, creating a constantly evolving assessment of the fight’s potential results.
This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Miller vs McKinney fight, as declared by the relevant governing body. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Jim Miller or a win for Terrance McKinney – occurred according to the official fight record. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 15, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected betting trends in the broader sports betting market might also cause shifts. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight predictions could sway opinions and drive volume. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each fighter’s chances of winning has the potential to move this market.