TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:24 PM EST
Kalshi
The outcome hinges on the result of a professional MMA bout between Anthony Wint and Lucas Armand. If Wint secures the victory, his market will settle positively, whereas a win by Armand will determine his market's resolution. The fight's scheduling changes dictate how and when the market concludes.
Both markets resolve based on the winner of the Wint vs Armand professional MMA fight originally scheduled for October 3, 2026. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the markets remain open until the rescheduled fight concludes, provided it happens within two weeks of the original date. A tie or no contest results in a 50/50 resolution for both markets. If the fight is canceled or rescheduled beyond two weeks, the markets resolve at a fair price. Neither market is endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC; references to UFC are descriptive only.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals actively trading based on their own analysis and information. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage or simply indicate varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wint vs Armand match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the condition of either Wint or Armand, such as injuries or changes in training regimens, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected performance in other matches leading up to the event could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any public statements from analysts or experts offering their predictions could sway the market. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected by polls or social media, might also contribute to price movements in this market.