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5

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332: Vettori vs Naurdiev
kalshi

What is the result of Vettori vs Naurdiev?

Volume:
$1,913,808

Ismail Naurdiev

 - Kalshi

Ismail Naurdiev - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 4:57 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ismail Naurdiev

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$934,231
N/A
N/A
$636,728
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marvin Vettori

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$979,577
N/A
N/A
$675,471
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks whether Ismail Naurdiev will win his professional MMA fight against Marvin Vettori, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026. Currently, the probability of Ismail Naurdiev winning on Kalshi is 67.0%, while Marvin Vettori winning stands at 35.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the Vettori vs Naurdiev fight, as determined by the fight’s governing body. Keep a close eye on the fight itself, as the market will resolve to ‘Yes’ if Ismail Naurdiev wins the bout as scheduled—or rescheduled—before the resolution date of October 4, 2026.

Kalshi

If Marvin Vettori wins the Vettori vs Naurdiev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ismail Naurdiev wins the Vettori vs Naurdiev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Vettori vs Naurdiev fight tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of each outcome changes over time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the total volume for this market is $1,913,808, with $1,550,769 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of where the crowd believes the outcome of the fight is headed, all within Kalshi.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant difference exists between the two, it could indicate disagreement about the fighters’ chances or differing levels of information available to each group. It's common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, though this isn't always the case.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vettori vs Naurdiev fight, as declared by the relevant governing body. The market will determine which fighter is officially declared the winner, and payouts will be distributed accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand when the market is settled.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about fighter weight or pre-fight negotiations could also have an impact. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight previews may sway traders' opinions, leading to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.