TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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332: Silva vs Cong
kalshi

Who will win Silva vs Cong?

Volume:
$6,322,224

Natalia Silva

 - Kalshi

Natalia Silva - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 10:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Natalia Silva

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,427,381
N/A
N/A
$1,797,622
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Wang Cong

0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,894,844
N/A
N/A
$2,598,766
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks whether Natalia Silva will win her professional MMA fight against Wang Cong, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026. Currently, the probability of Natalia Silva winning on Kalshi is 84.0%, while Wang Cong winning stands at 17.0%. The market will resolve based on the official result of the Silva vs Cong fight, as determined by the fight’s governing body. Keep a close eye on the outcome of the fight itself, as the market resolves to ‘Yes’ if Natalia Silva wins the bout originally scheduled for October 3, 2026, and will be finalized by the resolution date of October 4, 2026.

Kalshi

If Natalia Silva wins the Silva vs Cong professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wang Cong wins the Silva vs Cong professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Silva vs Cong fight tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the total volume for this market is $6,322,224, with $4,833,704 traded in the last 24 hours. You can see how the probability of each outcome has shifted over time through the price charts, and gauge market interest based on recent trading activity. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets on the outcome of this bout.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own insights. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of volume enters the market. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price variations between the two types of markets.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Silva vs Cong fight as declared by the relevant sporting authorities. The market will determine which fighter is declared the winner, and that result will be used to settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will be finalized.

Several factors could influence trading in this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about weight class changes or potential rule modifications could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, public betting patterns from sportsbooks, expert analysis, and even social media buzz can all contribute to price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions about the Silva vs Cong fight.