TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
332: McGhee vs Sopaj
kalshi

Who will win McGhee vs Sopaj?

Volume:
$39,883

Marcus McGhee

 - Kalshi

Marcus McGhee - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 30, 2026

Closed: Sep 30, 7:06 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Marcus McGhee

View
55%
2%
Yes 55¢No 45¢
—
N/A
$16,727
N/A
N/A
$12,193
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Bernardo Sopaj

45%
Yes 45¢No 55¢
—
N/A
$23,157
N/A
N/A
$17,334
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 2

Description

This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional MMA fight between Marcus McGhee and Bernardo Sopaj. Bettors can speculate on which fighter will claim victory in the match originally set for October 3, 2026. The result depends solely on who wins the bout, with specific conditions for delays, ties, or cancellations.

Kalshi

If Marcus McGhee wins the McGhee vs Sopaj professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernardo Sopaj wins the McGhee vs Sopaj professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the McGhee vs Sopaj match tracks the current odds of each outcome, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $16,441, and the total volume traded to date, which is $39,883. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of each player winning this match. The dashboard helps visualize market sentiment and potential trading opportunities related to this event.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, and the influence of public perception. If sportsbooks heavily favor one player, this market might show a more nuanced view, or conversely, if sportsbooks are uncertain, this market could establish a clearer probability distribution. It’s important to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the McGhee vs Sopaj match, as determined by the official governing body of the sport. The specific winner of the match will be the determining factor for settlement. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.

Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. Public announcements about player fitness or potential tactical adjustments would also be key catalysts. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in outlook. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for understanding market movements.