TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 8:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Ateba Gautier will win his professional MMA fight against Roman Kopylov. Currently, Kalshi gives Ateba Gautier a 69.0% probability of winning, while Roman Kopylov is at 32.0%. The market will resolve based on the official result of the Gautier vs Kopylov fight, as determined by the fight’s governing body. Keep an eye on the fight itself, scheduled for October 3, 2026, as the outcome of that bout will determine resolution, with the market closing no later than October 4, 2026 to account for official results reporting.
If Ateba Gautier wins the Gautier vs Kopylov professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Roman Kopylov wins the Gautier vs Kopylov professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, as they reflect the wisdom of the crowd and are continuously updated based on real money at risk. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, particularly if they differ significantly from this market. It's important to compare the implied probabilities from both sources to identify potential discrepancies and make informed decisions. Discrepancies may arise due to differing levels of expertise, biases, or simply the volume of bets placed on each side.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Gautier vs Kopylov match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances on Kalshi following verification. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective evidence.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in form, or tactical adjustments could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either Gautier or Kopylov could also shift expectations. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one particular outcome – could also cause a noticeable price movement. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market's prediction.