TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which fighter will win the professional MMA fight between Deiveson Figueiredo and Payton Talbott. Currently, Kalshi gives Payton Talbott an 83.0% probability of winning, while Deiveson Figueiredo is at 18.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the fight as determined by official results, with resolution source being confirmation of the winner of the Figueiredo vs Talbott professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. Keep an eye on the fight itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Deiveson Figueiredo wins the bout scheduled for resolution on October 4, 2026.
If Deiveson Figueiredo wins the Figueiredo vs Talbott professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Payton Talbott wins the Figueiredo vs Talbott professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is underrating a fighter’s chances, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money flows into either market, as prediction markets can incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Figueiredo vs Talbott fight, as declared by the relevant boxing authorities. Any official decision, including a knockout, technical knockout, decision, or disqualification, will determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also cause adjustments on Kalshi as traders attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings. Furthermore, any updates on the fighters’ physical condition or strategic approaches leading up to the fight could significantly move the market. Public opinion and analyst predictions, while not directly reflected, can also indirectly affect trading behavior.