TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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332: Anjos vs Hernandez
kalshi

What is the result of Anjos vs Hernandez?

Volume:
$1,254,627

Alexander Hernandez

 - Kalshi

Alexander Hernandez - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 5:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alexander Hernandez

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$636,923
N/A
N/A
$465,804
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rafael Dos Anjos

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$617,705
N/A
N/A
$447,309
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks whether Alexander Hernandez will win his professional MMA fight against Rafael Dos Anjos. Currently, Kalshi gives Alexander Hernandez a 74.0% probability of winning, while Rafael Dos Anjos is at 28.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Anjos vs Hernandez fight, as determined by official fight results. Keep an eye on the scheduled fight date of October 3, 2026, as the market will resolve the day after, on October 4, 2026, based on whether Hernandez secures a victory in the ring.

Kalshi

If Rafael Dos Anjos wins the Anjos vs Hernandez professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alexander Hernandez wins the Anjos vs Hernandez professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Anjos vs Hernandez fight tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of each outcome shifts over time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the total volume for this market is $1,254,627, with $1,214,138 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of how the crowd is assessing the likelihood of each fighter winning, offering insights beyond traditional betting markets.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional odds, particularly when factoring in information not readily available to sportsbooks. Comparing these odds can reveal where the crowd sees value relative to the established market.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Anjos vs Hernandez fight, as declared by the relevant governing body. The platform will verify the outcome against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and determine which contracts will pay out. Traders will then receive their payouts based on the final result and their positions in this market.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about weight class changes or potential rule adjustments could also have a significant impact. Publicly available analysis from MMA experts and shifts in betting action at sportsbooks can also influence trading activity on Kalshi, leading to price fluctuations in this market.