TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:01 AM EST
Kalshi
Two professional Dota 2 teams, 1win and Team Yandex, will compete in a match scheduled for October 25, 2026. The outcome hinges on which team secures victory in the second map of their best-of-three series, determining the immediate leader in this high-stakes encounter.
This event determines the winner of map 2 in the scheduled Dota 2 match between 1win and Team Yandex on October 25, 2026, at 7:00 AM EDT. If 1win wins map 2, that market resolves to Yes; if Team Yandex wins map 2, its market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to predict correctly. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, but this market shows a more balanced expectation, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of an upset. Discrepancies can arise due to differing analysis, access to information, or simply varying opinions among bettors and traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of Team Yandex winning map 2. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the evolving beliefs of participants and provides a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each outcome. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of map 2 in the 1win vs. Team Yandex match. The winning team on map 2 will determine the settlement of this market. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. The outcome will be determined by the official game results and verified against credible public sources.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes could shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during the series, especially in map 1, will likely have a significant impact. Major upsets in other matches within the tournament could also affect perceptions of team strength. Even social media buzz and expert analysis could contribute to price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions. Keep an eye on these signals to understand potential shifts in this market.