TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 10:05 AM EST
Kalshi
In the same competitive Dota 2 match between 1win and Team Yandex on October 25, 2026, the first map sets the initial tone. The result depends entirely on which team claims this opening map, shaping early momentum for the series.
This event determines the winner of map 1 in the scheduled Dota 2 match between 1win and Team Yandex on October 25, 2026, at 7:00 AM EDT. If 1win wins map 1, that market resolves to Yes; if Team Yandex wins map 1, its market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to attract action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the true probability of each team winning. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate an opportunity for arbitrage, though transaction costs and market liquidity should be considered.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers submit bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Traders are essentially betting on the probability of each outcome, and the price reflects the collective belief of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the cost to buy a 'yes' contract (betting on 1win winning Map 1) or the amount you would receive if you sold a 'yes' contract and 1win ultimately wins.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be determined by the official result of the first map played between 1win and Team Yandex. The winning team as declared by the event organizers will be the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player form, team strategies, or any unexpected roster changes for either 1win or Team Yandex could all shift expectations. In-game performance during other matches leading up to this event, or even early results within the series itself, could also impact prices. General sentiment within the esports community and any major upsets in related tournaments could also contribute to movements in this market.