TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 12:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on predicting the winner of the second map in an upcoming professional Dota 2 match between two top teams. The outcome depends solely on which team secures victory in that specific map. Any changes to the match schedule or cancellations are handled according to predefined fairness guidelines.
The event determines the winner of map 2 in the PARI Universe 2026: 1win vs. Team Liquid Dota 2 match scheduled for October 22, 2026, at 10:00 AM EDT. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled, or forfeited before any play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the market resolves based on the official result declared by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may set initial lines to attract action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or varying levels of expertise among participants. It's common to see this market converge towards a more accurate probability as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the price based on their expectations. Traders submit bids (prices they are willing to buy at) and asks (prices they are willing to sell at), and the market price fluctuates as these bids and asks are matched. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the probability of a particular outcome occurring – in this case, either 1win or Team Liquid winning Map 2. Higher prices indicate a greater perceived probability of that outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of Map 2 in the 1win versus Team Liquid match. The winning team as determined by the official game results will be the outcome used for settlement. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency in determining the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either 1win or Team Liquid could significantly shift expectations. In-game performance during earlier matches in the series could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about map bans or player availability would be key catalysts. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning Map 2 has the potential to move this market.