TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 11:50 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the first map in an upcoming professional Dota 2 match between two teams. The result depends solely on which team secures the victory in that initial map. Any changes to the match schedule or cancellations are handled through specific resolution rules.
The market resolves based on which team wins the first map of the specified Dota 2 match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves at fair market price. If a map starts but is later forfeited, the result follows the official ruling from the tournament organizer. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on models and public perception, while this market allows individuals to trade on their own informed opinions. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they can buy 'yes' contracts, driving up the price and reflecting that belief. This dynamic can lead to prediction markets being more accurate than sportsbooks, especially when there's strong public disagreement or specialized knowledge involved in assessing the likelihood of an event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people trade, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability of the event. The current top market on Kalshi is for 1win winning map 1.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the first map played between 1win and Team Liquid, as determined by the event organizers. The winning team of map 1 will be the outcome that determines the settlement of this market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the official result is available.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 22, 2026. Unexpected news regarding player form, team strategies, or even potential roster changes could shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other matches featuring these teams could also impact confidence levels. Additionally, any public statements from team members or analysts offering insights into their expected performance could cause price fluctuations. A surge in trading volume driven by new information or a shift in public opinion would also likely move this market significantly.