TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 12:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of the second map in an upcoming professional Dota 2 match between two teams. The result depends solely on which team secures victory in that specific map during the scheduled competition. It reflects the competitive balance and strategies employed by the teams in a high-stakes gaming environment.
The event determines whether either 1win or Aurora wins the second map in their scheduled BLAST Slam 2026 Dota 2 match on October 8, 2026. If the specified map is completed with a clear winner, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited prior to any play—whether before or during the map—the market resolves to the fair market price. If play begins and the map is later forfeited, the result follows the official ruling from the tournament organizer. Kalshi disclaims any formal association with the governing league, and all branding remains property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. It's possible to find value by comparing the implied probabilities in this market with those offered by sportsbooks, identifying situations where one might be mispricing the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new data and provide a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team winning Map 2.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of Map 2 in the 1win vs. Aurora match. The team declared the winner by the official tournament organizers will determine the settlement of this market. Traders who correctly predicted the winning team will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for 1win or Aurora could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches or other tournaments could also impact expectations. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in social media or analyst predictions, might drive trading activity. Major in-game events during the match itself, such as early map control or key player performances, could also cause rapid price movements in this market.