TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:36 PM EST
Opinion
This market refers to the Bundesliga match between 1899 Hoffenheim (HOF) and Bayer Leverkusen (BAY), scheduled for 2026-10-25 14:30 UTC. - HOF: If 1899 Hoffenheim wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - BAY: If Bayer Leverkusen wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both HOF and BAY options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Bundesliga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.bundesliga.com/
This market refers to the Bundesliga match between 1899 Hoffenheim (HOF) and Bayer Leverkusen (BAY), scheduled for 2026-10-25 14:30 UTC. - HOF: If 1899 Hoffenheim wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - BAY: If Bayer Leverkusen wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both HOF and BAY options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Bundesliga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.bundesliga.com/
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges or as traders identify perceived mispricings. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of the potential outcome of the Hoffenheim vs Leverkusen match.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. Conversely, if traders believe an outcome is unlikely, the price will fall. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Hoffenheim, a win for Leverkusen, or a draw – actually occurred during the match. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Hoffenheim or Leverkusen would likely have a significant impact. Any news regarding team form, tactical changes, or managerial decisions could also shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role, as could major upsets in other relevant matches that affect team morale or motivation. Even public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert predictions, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.