TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Two professional esports teams, 100 Thieves and Shopify Rebellion, will face off in a competitive Rainbow Six Siege match as part of the North America League Stage 2 2026. The outcome hinges on which team secures a victory in this scheduled encounter.
The market resolves to Yes if either 100 Thieves or Shopify Rebellion wins the specified Rainbow Six Siege match scheduled for October 8, 2026, at 2:00 PM EDT. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any action, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match starts and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result declared by the governing body or tournament organizer.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when there’s strong public sentiment or information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information and potentially provide more accurate probabilities as the event nears.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information, their own analysis, and their assessment of other participants’ views. This dynamic interaction determines the market price, creating a real-time probability assessment for the 100 Thieves vs. Shopify Rebellion match.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the 100 Thieves vs. Shopify Rebellion match in the League of Legends Championship Series. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the definitive result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either 100 Thieves or Shopify Rebellion could significantly impact the odds. Major upsets in other matches within the League of Legends Championship Series could also shift perceptions of team strength. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from esports experts can drive trading volume and price fluctuations. Keep an eye on these signals as they emerge to understand potential shifts in the market’s assessment of the likely outcome.