TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 6:50 PM EST
Kalshi
In the North America League Stage 2 2026, 100 Thieves and Cloud9 compete in a Rainbow Six Siege match. The second map of this encounter will influence the match's direction and possibly the season standings for both teams.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the designated map in the scheduled match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the result is determined by the official outcome published by the tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a smaller team of experts, while this market’s pricing is determined by supply and demand. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially lean on statistical models, this market can quickly incorporate real-time insights and nuanced factors not easily captured by algorithms. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s likelihood. Essentially, traders are directly setting the odds based on their own analysis and risk tolerance, creating a market-driven probability assessment for the 100 Thieves vs. Cloud9 Map 2 outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Map 2 in the 100 Thieves vs. Cloud9 match. The winning team on Map 2 will determine the settlement of contracts in this market. It’s important to note that the official result, as reported by the event organizers, will be the definitive source for determining the market’s outcome, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either 100 Thieves or Cloud9 could significantly impact trader sentiment. In-game performance during earlier matches in the series, or even during warm-up sessions, might also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, such as venue changes or rule adjustments, could also cause movement. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of winning Map 2 has the potential to move this market.