TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 5:49 PM EST
Kalshi
The opening map of the 100 Thieves versus Cloud9 Rainbow Six Siege match can establish early dominance and set strategic priorities for both teams. This initial clash often determines the early flow of the competition.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the designated map in the scheduled match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the result is determined by the official outcome published by the tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and real-time sentiment from traders. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, but volume in this market is distributed more evenly, it suggests disagreement between the two. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially when there's significant public interest and debate surrounding the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the cost to acquire a single unit of exposure to that outcome. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and selling their contracts before the market resolves. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of Map 1 in the 100 Thieves vs. Cloud9 match. The winning team on Map 1 will determine the winning contract in this market. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders should monitor official match results to understand when the market will be settled and to confirm their positions.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for 100 Thieves or Cloud9 could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about map picks or bans could also shift probabilities. Furthermore, in-game performance during other matches leading up to this event, or even early performance within Map 1 itself, could trigger rapid price adjustments. High-profile analyst predictions or shifts in public opinion could also contribute to volatility in this market.