TOTAL VOLUME:
$114.6b
24H VOL:
$120,500,996
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,317,581,230
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,175,716,214
332,638
Markets across
32,154
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,978
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?
The Odyssey
all
2 markets
Polymarket
43%
Kalshi
45%
consensus
44%
spread
43-45%
(2pp)
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Aug 15
Aug 15
Aug 17
Aug 18
Aug 19
Aug 20
Aug 22
Vol.
$2.3k
·
Resolves Jan 1, 2027
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
$
Trade on Polymarket
At 43¢ buys you 233 shares | Odds: 43% Total Payout: $233 | Net Profit: $133 Multiplier: 2.33x | ROI: 133% High Projected APY: 932% 131 days to resolution
Trade on Kalshi
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 45¢ buys you 222 shares | Odds: 37% Total Payout: $222 | Net Profit: $122 Multiplier: 2.22x | ROI: 122% High Projected APY: 795% 132 days to resolution
Description
This group of markets predicts which movie will be the most searched on Google in 2026, based on Google's Year in Search Global 'Movies' list. Multiple platforms offer markets on various movie titles, with resolution tied to Google's official ranking.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets consistently resolve based on the same official Google source and share identical criteria for interpreting search terms.Primary resolution logic: Google’s Year in Search Global 'Movies' list for 2026, published on trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/Core resolution logic:
- The market resolves based on the movie ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global 'Movies' list for 2026.
- Search terms that clearly refer to a listed movie (e.g., abbreviations, alternate spellings) count toward that movie.
- If Google does not release the list by March 31, 2027, Polymarket’s 'Other' market resolves as the default outcome.
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Ambiguous Search Terms: If a search term clearly refers to multiple listed movies, the market resolves according to the term that comes first alphabetically as listed in the market.
- Unreleased List: If Google does not release the Year in Search list by March 31, 2027, Polymarket’s 'Other' option resolves as the default outcome, while Kalshi markets remain unresolved until the list is published.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the movie ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global “Movies” list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Entertainment → Movies. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. A search term that clearly refers to a term listed in this market (for example, abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing) will count toward the term as listed in this market. If a search term clearly refers to multiple terms listed in this market, this market will resolve according to the term that comes first alphabetically as listed in this market. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on the "Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Movies" section of Google’s official Year in Search 2026 – Global list, published during 2026. If that specific movies section is not published in 2026, every market automatically resolves to NO. Each market corresponds to a unique movie title; resolution occurs if that title appears as the #1 entry in the designated section. The report includes multiple categories (Searches, News, Passings, People), but only the Movies category is relevant here. No endorsement or affiliation exists between Google and the market operator; references to Google are purely descriptive.
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and market design. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more retail traders reacting to pop culture moments, while the other could see heavier institutional participation. These factors, along with varying trading volumes, help explain the spread of 5.5 between the two venues.
This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by official year-end data from Google’s public Year in Search listings for movies, providing a clear, data-driven conclusion.
Key signals that could shift odds in this market include major film releases, award nominations, viral social media moments, and unexpected box office performance. Any development that changes public perception or search trends—such as a surprise hit or scandal—may cause rapid repricing as traders update their expectations ahead of the final count.
