This event group covers a Bundesliga match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Hamburger SV scheduled for February 20, 2026. Markets include multiple over/under total goals markets (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), a both-teams-to-score market, and match outcome markets across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi align on using the official Bundesliga.com final score for the match on February 20, 2026, with resolution based on goals in 90 minutes plus stoppage time only, and identical handling of postponements (remain open) and cancellations (50-50 split).
Primary resolution logic:
Bundesliga.com official final score
Core resolution logic:
Over/Under markets resolve based on combined total goals: O/U 1.5 resolves Over if 2+ goals, Under if 0-1; O/U 2.5 resolves Over if 3+ goals, Under if 0-2; O/U 3.5 resolves Over if 4+ goals, Under if 0-3; O/U 4.5 resolves Over if 5+ goals, Under if 0-4
Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if both teams score at least one goal each, No if either team scores zero goals
Match outcome markets (Kalshi) resolve Yes for any outcome: Mainz win, Hamburg win, or tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
All resolutions count only goals in 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties
If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed and official score is published
If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50
If match begins but is not completed, resolution uses the official final score published on bundesliga.com
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed. Resolution occurs once the official final score is published on bundesliga.com.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split equally between Yes and No outcomes).
Incomplete Match: If the match is started but not completed, resolution follows the official final score published on bundesliga.com at the time of abandonment.
Extra Time and Penalties: Only goals scored in 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time count. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded from all market resolutions.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes on February 20, 2026, once the official final score is published on bundesliga.com. Markets remain open if postponed and resolve upon completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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