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1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München - First Team to Score
predict
polymarket

What team will score first?

Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$5,629
26%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

1. FSV Mainz 05

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 7, 2026

Time left: 04d:14h:19m

1. FSV Mainz 05 to score first vs. FC Bayern München?

32%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 35¢ buys you 286 shares | Odds: 32% Total Payout: $286 | Net Profit: $186 Multiplier: 2.86x | ROI: 186% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1. FSV Mainz 05

Trade
32%
1%
Yes 35¢No 71¢
6¢
$2,080
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 14h 19m
Active
predict

MAI

Trade
N/A
N/A
44¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 16h 19m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 25¢Max: 44¢
polymarket

FC Bayern München

Trade
66%
2%
Yes 69¢No 37¢
6¢
$1,679
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 14h 19m
Active
predict

BAY

Trade
N/A
N/A
36¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 16h 19m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 21¢Max: 36¢
polymarket

Neither

Trade
2%
Yes 2.5¢No 99¢
1.5¢
$1,871
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 14h 19m
Active
predict

Neither

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 16h 19m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 1.5¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize identical resolution criteria, focusing on the first goal scored within the standard 90-minute match duration plus stoppage time.Primary resolution logic: Official match statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with a tiered fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, and credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • The first goal scored during the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time determines the winner.
  • If no goal is scored within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market resolves to "Neither".
  • Postponed matches will have resolution delayed until completion.
  • Canceled matches (with no reschedule) resolve to "Neither".

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If both are unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not affect the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, with a maximum delay of 24 hours from the event's conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "1. FSV Mainz 05" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Bayern München" if FC Bayern München are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "1. FSV Mainz 05" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Bayern München" if FC Bayern München are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of either 1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München scoring the first goal in their upcoming match. Currently, Polymarket shows a consensus view with a probability of 64 percent favoring FC Bayern München to score first. The total volume across both platforms is $0, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see how the collective wisdom of prediction market traders assesses the likelihood of each team taking the early lead in the Mainz vs. Bayern first-to-score market.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a more accurate aggregate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and profit, sometimes incorporating biases. This market, however, is driven by traders incentivized to predict the outcome correctly, leading to potentially more efficient pricing. While sportsbooks may initially offer odds based on team reputations or public perception, the prediction market dynamically adjusts based on new information and informed opinions. Comparing these odds can reveal discrepancies and opportunities for informed betting.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Predict can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with higher volume on one platform tends to have more stable and accurate pricing. Furthermore, the platforms may have slightly different fee structures or liquidity provisions, influencing trader behavior. Currently, Polymarket currently favors FC Bayern München to score first at 64 percent, while Predict leans toward 1. FSV Mainz 05 to score first. These variations highlight the dynamic nature of prediction markets.

This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by which team – FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München – scores the first goal in the match. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. Traders should monitor official announcements related to the match to stay informed about the progress towards resolution of this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 7, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, such as recent match results or tactical adjustments, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match statements from coaches, might trigger shifts in the market. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.