TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$238,896,186

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,934,485

408,127

Markets across

39,552

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,429

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München
opinion
predict
limitless
polymarket

What is the result of 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München?

Total volume:
$9,839
Volume 24h:
$2,435
8%
Liquidity:
$59,285
4%
Open interest:
$9,394N/A

BAY

all

4 markets

Predict

Polymarket

Opinion

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 04d:07h:31m

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?

71%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 71¢ buys you 141 shares | Odds: 71% Total Payout: $141 | Net Profit: $41 Multiplier: 1.41x | ROI: 41% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

BAY

Trade
71%
3%
Yes 71¢No 30¢
1¢
$11,793
$23
14%
N/A
N/A
4d 7h 31m
Active
polymarket

FC Bayern München

Trade
71%
Yes 71¢No 30¢
1¢
$17,792
$9,056
33%
3,206%
N/A
4d 5h 31m
Active
opinion

Bayern München wins

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 5h 31m
Active
limitless

Bayern München

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 31m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
70.5%
Yes 71¢No 30¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

1. FSV Mainz 05

Trade
16%
Yes 16¢No 85¢
1¢
$10,229
$725
0%
N/A
N/A
4d 5h 31m
Active
predict

MAI

Trade
15%
Yes 16¢No 86¢
2¢
$4,441
$32
0%
N/A
N/A
4d 7h 31m
Active
opinion

FSV Mainz 05 wins

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 5h 31m
Active
limitless

FSV Mainz 05

Trade
N/A
N/A
1.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 31m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
15.5%
Yes 16¢No 85.5¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

Draw (1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München)

Trade
14%
1%
Yes 15¢No 86¢
1¢
$10,747
$2
0%
N/A
N/A
4d 5h 31m
Active
opinion

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 5h 31m
Active
predict

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
$4,284
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 7h 31m
Active
limitless

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
1.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 31m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
14.5%
Yes 15¢No 86¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
Total markets: 12

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Bundesliga match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München on November 7, 2026. Markets exist for Mainz 05 winning, Bayern München winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution criteria, relying on official match statistics and a defined fallback hierarchy.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (Bundesliga).

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled without a rescheduled match, win/loss markets resolve to 'No', and draw markets resolve to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match conclusion, or as soon as official or fallback data becomes available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 7, 2026, 14:30 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Opinion

This market refers to the Bundesliga match between FSV Mainz 05 (MAI) and Bayern München (BAY), scheduled for 2026-11-07 14:30 UTC. - MAI: If FSV Mainz 05 wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - BAY: If Bayern München wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both MAI and BAY options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Bundesliga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.bundesliga.com/

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Opinion, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Mainz vs. Bayern match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $9,839, with $2,398 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket currently favors Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07? at 70.5%, reflecting the consensus view of traders on that venue. This allows for a comprehensive view of market sentiment, combining insights from multiple prediction markets into a single, easily digestible interface. The dashboard provides a dynamic assessment of potential results as new information becomes available.

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of traders incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets offering more accurate probabilities, especially when significant information isn't yet widely reflected in sportsbook lines. However, sportsbooks often have lower fees and wider accessibility. Comparing the two can provide a more nuanced understanding of the potential result and the associated probabilities.

Polymarket and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices for this market on Polymarket and Opinion may differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Polymarket has a larger volume of $9,839, potentially leading to more efficient price discovery. Additionally, different participants may weigh available information differently, resulting in diverging opinions. The user demographics and trading strategies employed on each platform can also contribute to these discrepancies. These factors create independent assessments of the likely outcome of the Mainz vs. Bayern match.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mainz vs. Bayern match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the outcome of this market. The current volume of $9,839 indicates strong interest in predicting the result, and the market will close prior to the event to allow for a definitive outcome.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Mainz or Bayern would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or off-field issues could also play a role. With a current volume of $2,398, the market is sensitive to new information, and any of these events could lead to substantial shifts in probabilities.