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1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - First Team to Score
predict

What is the result of 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

Volume:
$9

B04

 - Predict

B04 - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 11:30 AM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

B04

View
54%
Yes 54¢No 46¢
—
$19,880
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

MAI

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Neither

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "1. FSV Mainz 05" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bayer 04 Leverkusen" if Bayer 04 Leverkusen are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "1. FSV Mainz 05" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bayer 04 Leverkusen" if Bayer 04 Leverkusen are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Mainz vs Leverkusen first-to-score market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probabilities shift as traders buy and sell contracts predicting which team will score the opening goal. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $9, and the total volume traded on this market is $9. This provides a real-time view of market sentiment and activity surrounding the match.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or promotional considerations, while this market is driven purely by individuals wagering their own capital. However, discrepancies can exist due to differing market participants and the inherent uncertainty of the event. It's common to see initial sportsbook lines move closer to the prediction market price as the event nears and more information becomes available.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the collective assessment of all participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if more traders believe Bayer 04 Leverkusen will score first, the price of that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by which team – 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen – scores the first goal in the match. Official match data will be used to verify the result. Any potential disputes will be resolved based on the official game records and accepted football rules, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.

Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause significant price movement. Tactical announcements from the managers, such as confirmed starting lineups, could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant momentum shifts in other matches affecting team morale, could also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s scoring potential could move the odds.