TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - First Team to Score
polymarket

What is the result of 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

Volume:
$203

1. FSV Mainz 05

 - Polymarket

1. FSV Mainz 05 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 12:19 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1. FSV Mainz 05

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "1. FSV Mainz 05" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bayer 04 Leverkusen" if Bayer 04 Leverkusen are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "1. FSV Mainz 05" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bayer 04 Leverkusen" if Bayer 04 Leverkusen are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Mainz vs Leverkusen first-to-score market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of each team scoring first fluctuates in real-time. The dashboard also displays the total volume traded on this market, currently at $203, and the 24-hour volume, which is $198. This provides a clear overview of market activity and sentiment regarding which team is favored to break the deadlock.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess the probability of an event. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market potentially offering more favorable odds depending on how traders weigh various factors like team form, injuries, and historical data. Generally, prediction markets are thought to be more accurate aggregators of information, as they incentivize participants to express their true beliefs.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team, 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen, officially scores the first goal in the match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be handled according to the platform's standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Pre-match announcements about starting lineups and tactical approaches could also impact the odds. Finally, even weather conditions on match day could play a role, especially if they favor one team's playing style over the other.