TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 2:37 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd and allow participants to hedge their bets. However, sportsbook odds often incorporate a 'vig' or commission, while this market allows for peer-to-peer trading without such a built-in cost. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when public perception differs from informed analysis. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can offer a valuable perspective on where the crowd and professional oddsmakers diverge in their expectations for the final result.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official score of the 1. FSV Mainz 05 versus Bayer 04 Leverkusen match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a recognized sports data provider, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when the market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift the probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or broader shifts in football betting sentiment, might also contribute to price fluctuations. Keep an eye on sports news and analysis leading up to the game to understand potential catalysts.