TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:30 AM EST
Predict
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information advantages held by traders, or simply variations in modeling approaches. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available leading up to the event.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the perceived probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information as traders react to news, injuries, and other factors that might influence the match's result, creating a dynamic and informative price signal.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen match, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders will know the final result shortly after the match concludes.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader behavior. Unexpected news related to team morale or off-field issues could also play a role. Essentially, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning, or the likelihood of a draw, has the potential to move this market.