TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks forecasters to predict the exact final score of a Bundesliga match between 1. FC Union Berlin and BV Borussia 09 Dortmund. The markets exclude extra time and penalty shoot-outs, focusing solely on the 90-minute regulation time result. A special 'Any Other Score' option exists to cover outcomes not explicitly listed.
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FC Union Berlin and BV Borussia 09 Dortmund, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the 1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FC Union Berlin and BV Borussia 09 Dortmund, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the 1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to differing user bases, trading activity, and risk assessments. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Predict, leading to variations in how probabilities are weighted. Additionally, the volume of trading on each platform influences price discovery; higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the reflected probabilities. These factors contribute to the observed differences in the odds for the Union Berlin vs Dortmund score market, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying event.