TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:30 AM EST
Predict
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between 1. FC Union Berlin and BV Borussia 09 Dortmund.
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between 1. FC Union Berlin and BV Borussia 09 Dortmund.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes providing more accurate forecasts, particularly when a large volume of traders participate. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups – bettors in the case of sportsbooks, and forecasters in this market.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of the traders regarding the probability of that outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates what traders believe is a fair value for each possible result of the Union Berlin vs Dortmund match.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Union Berlin vs Dortmund match, as reported by official sports sources. Any potential postponements or cancellations will be factored into the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate determination of the market's outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and settlement details on Predict following the event's completion.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Key injuries to star players on either the Union Berlin or Dortmund squads would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift trader sentiment. Even external factors like weather conditions or referee announcements could introduce volatility. Any news related to team lineups, tactical approaches, or player availability has the potential to move this market.