TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:59 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game between 1. FC Nürnberg and VfL Wolfsburg, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the 1. FC Nürnberg vs. VfL Wolfsburg match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game between 1. FC Nürnberg and VfL Wolfsburg, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the 1. FC Nürnberg vs. VfL Wolfsburg match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while this market is driven by participants directly forecasting the outcome. However, discrepancies can occur, especially early on, as sportsbooks may react quickly to news or injuries, while the prediction market may take longer to fully incorporate such information. It’s common to see initial differences that narrow as the event draws nearer and more volume is traded.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 1. FC Nürnberg versus VfL Wolfsburg match will be the determining factor. Resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Any potential delays in official reporting could slightly postpone resolution, but the process is designed to be as prompt and accurate as possible once the official result is available.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either 1. FC Nürnberg or VfL Wolfsburg would likely have a significant impact. Tactical changes announced by either manager, or even unexpected weather conditions on match day, could also move the market. Furthermore, any substantial shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by pre-match analysis or expert predictions, could influence trading behavior and alter the implied probabilities.