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Polymarket:

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1. FC Nürnberg vs. VfL Wolfsburg
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of 1. FC Nürnberg vs. VfL Wolfsburg?

Volume:
$348,227

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 4:31 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$63,877
N/A
N/A
$27,979
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (1. FC Nürnberg vs. VfL Wolfsburg)

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$36,061
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Wolfsburg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90,496
N/A
N/A
$31,564
Settled
No
polymarket

VfL Wolfsburg

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,237
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nuremberg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72,718
N/A
N/A
$30,334
Settled
No
polymarket

1. FC Nürnberg

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,838
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a 2. Bundesliga soccer match between 1. FC Nürnberg and VfL Wolfsburg on October 10, 2026. Markets ask whether either team will win or if the match will end in a draw, settled based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets utilize the same core resolution logic, focusing on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and share identical fallback resolution procedures.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (Bundesliga).

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the outcome (win, loss, or draw) of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is postponed, the market remains open until the match is completed.
  • If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion using fallback sources.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between 1. FC Nürnberg and VfL Wolfsburg.

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes for the Nuremberg vs Wolfsburg Bundesliga 2 soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026: Nuremberg win, Wolfsburg win, or a tie. Each market resolves based on the result after the full 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves positively, while the team-specific markets resolve negatively. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The event explicitly excludes any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Nürnberg vs. Wolfsburg match. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $348,227, indicating significant interest in this contest. The consensus view, as reflected by the aggregated probabilities, suggests a dynamic market with evolving expectations. Polymarket shows a 38% chance for a specific outcome, while Kalshi offers a different perspective. This dashboard provides a comprehensive overview of the market's sentiment and allows users to track how predictions change leading up to the event.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are formed. Sportsbooks set lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. In contrast, this market’s odds are determined by traders who are incentivized to express their true beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially when there’s significant public information available. However, liquidity differences can also cause discrepancies; lower volume in prediction markets may result in wider spreads compared to highly liquid sportsbook markets.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, all of which influence price discovery. Differences in liquidity – reflected in the 24-hour volume of $314,194 – can also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, differing opinions and information available to traders on each platform can lead to varied assessments of the likelihood of different outcomes in the Nürnberg vs. Wolfsburg match. These factors create opportunities for arbitrage, but also explain why prices aren’t always identical.