TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:09h:13m
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In the upcoming match between 1. FC Nürnberg and SV Darmstadt 98, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "1. FC Nürnberg" if 1. FC Nürnberg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SV Darmstadt 98" if SV Darmstadt 98 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between 1. FC Nürnberg and SV Darmstadt 98, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "1. FC Nürnberg" if 1. FC Nürnberg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SV Darmstadt 98" if SV Darmstadt 98 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. As more information becomes available and opinions shift, the odds on Polymarket may converge with or diverge from sportsbook lines, offering potentially different value depending on your assessment of the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As traders exchange shares, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular team to score first, the higher the price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the 1. FC Nürnberg versus SV Darmstadt 98 match. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. All trading will cease prior to resolution, and shares will be settled based on the verified result.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in starting lineups would likely cause shifts in the odds. Pre-match analysis from sports analysts and commentators, as well as public sentiment expressed on social media, could also play a role. Unexpected weather conditions or tactical adjustments announced before kickoff could further impact the market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of scoring first has the potential to move this market.