TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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1. FC Magdeburg vs. Hannover 96
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of 1. FC Magdeburg vs. Hannover 96?

Volume:
$319,758

1. FC Magdeburg

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 10:55 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1. FC Magdeburg

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$101,817
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Magdeburg

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$72,609
N/A
N/A
$34,751
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hannover

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,859
N/A
N/A
$27,126
Settled
No
polymarket

Hannover 96

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,749
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,042
N/A
N/A
$14,606
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (1. FC Magdeburg vs. Hannover 96)

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,682
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a 2. Bundesliga soccer match between 1. FC Magdeburg and Hannover 96, scheduled for October 10, 2026. Markets exist for Magdeburg winning, Hannover winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi does not address this scenario.Hero tip: If you believe the game is likely to be canceled, favor the 'No' outcome on Polymarket. On Kalshi, consider the potential for the market to remain open or resolve based on other factors.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'No'. Uses a hierarchy of official stats, Flashscore, Sofascore, and consensus reporting.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit handling of game cancellations is provided; resolution implicitly relies on the game being played.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between 1. FC Magdeburg and Hannover 96.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Magdeburg vs Hannover Bundesliga 2 soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome corresponds to the specified team winning, while a 'Tie' market resolves positively if the game concludes with an equal score. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will settle at a fair price as determined per platform policy. The platform disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those seen on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the way they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to profit from balancing action on both sides of a bet. Prediction markets, however, are driven by the wisdom of the crowd, where participants directly trade on their beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded. The current volume for this market is $319,758, indicating a level of participant interest that can influence price discovery.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Magdeburg vs. Hannover match can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information, which can influence their trading decisions. Additionally, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform can differ, leading to price discrepancies. These differences in market dynamics can result in varying probabilities for the same event, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying outcome. The current volume of $319,758 reflects the combined trading activity across both venues.