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1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - First Team to Score
predict
polymarket

What team will score first?

Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$7,983
7,882%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

1. FC Köln

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 05d:19h:53m

1. FC Köln to score first vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

36%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 38¢ buys you 263 shares | Odds: 36% Total Payout: $263 | Net Profit: $163 Multiplier: 2.63x | ROI: 163% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1. FC Köln

Trade
36%
12%
Yes 38¢No 67¢
5¢
$3,789
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 19h 53m
Active
predict

KOE

Trade
N/A
N/A
56¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 21h 53m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 30.5¢Max: 56¢
polymarket

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Trade
60%
10%
Yes 63¢No 43¢
6¢
$2,558
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 19h 53m
Active
predict

B04

Trade
N/A
N/A
56¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 21h 53m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 31¢Max: 56¢
polymarket

Neither

Trade
3%
43%
Yes 4.7¢No 99¢
3.7¢
$1,636
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 19h 53m
Active
predict

Neither

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 21h 53m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 3.7¢Max: 3.7¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between 1. FC Köln and Bayer 04 Leverkusen. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict define the same resolution criteria, timeframe, and fallback data sources, ensuring consistent settlement.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, and credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • The first team to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time wins.
  • If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded from consideration.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 (or 'Draw' where applicable).
Timing: Resolution will occur after the completion of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, and no later than 24 hours after the event's conclusion, contingent on data availability.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between 1. FC Köln and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "1. FC Köln" if 1. FC Köln are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bayer 04 Leverkusen" if Bayer 04 Leverkusen are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming match between 1. FC Köln and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "1. FC Köln" if 1. FC Köln are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bayer 04 Leverkusen" if Bayer 04 Leverkusen are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of either 1. FC Köln or Bayer 04 Leverkusen scoring the first goal in their upcoming match. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Bayer 04 Leverkusen to score first at 49, while Predict leans toward the same outcome. The aggregated view provides a consensus estimate based on the combined volume of $0 across both platforms, offering a comprehensive look at where the crowd believes the edge lies in this particular market. This allows for a broader understanding than looking at either Polymarket or Predict in isolation.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of individuals, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while prediction markets allow traders to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may more accurately incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. However, both types of odds are influenced by public perception and available information, and can converge as the event approaches. Examining both can provide a more informed view.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Predict can arise due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with higher volume on one platform may be more efficiently priced. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution can differ, leading to price discrepancies. For example, Polymarket might have a more active trading community focused on soccer, while Predict may have a broader range of participants. These nuances contribute to the observed price variations in the Köln vs Leverkusen first-to-score market.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by which team—1. FC Köln or Bayer 04 Leverkusen—scores the first goal in the match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. Traders should monitor official announcements to understand the final determination of this market, as it will reflect the first goalscorer in the scheduled match.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either 1. FC Köln or Bayer 04 Leverkusen would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Tactical announcements from either manager, such as confirmed starting lineups or changes in formation, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day or even significant pre-match commentary from football analysts could also move the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.