TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:08h:29m
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This group forecasts the outcome of a Bundesliga match between 1. FC Köln and Bayer 04 Leverkusen on November 8, 2026. Markets exist for Köln winning, Leverkusen winning, and the game ending in a draw. All platforms specify a 90-minute + stoppage time window for resolution.
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 between 1. FC Köln and Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 between 1. FC Köln and Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
This market refers to the Bundesliga match between 1. FC Köln (KOL) and Bayer Leverkusen (BAY), scheduled for 2026-11-08 14:30 UTC. - KOL: If 1. FC Köln wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - BAY: If Bayer Leverkusen wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both KOL and BAY options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Bundesliga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.bundesliga.com/
Polymarket and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The differing prices on Polymarket and Opinion for this market can stem from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Köln vs Leverkusen match. Trading mechanisms also differ; Polymarket operates with a specific set of rules that may influence price discovery compared to Opinion. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform—$130 overall—isn't necessarily distributed evenly, potentially leading to price discrepancies. These factors contribute to the distinct probabilities observed across the two venues.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Köln vs Leverkusen match will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will be the basis for settlement. The current volume indicates strong interest in predicting the outcome of this match, with $130 traded to date.
Several signals could impact this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either 1. FC Köln or Bayer 04 Leverkusen would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence predictions. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as changes in venue or kickoff time, might also shift the probabilities. Monitoring sports news and team updates will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.