TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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All
Sports
1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen
opinion
predict
polymarket

What is the result of 1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

Total volume:
$130
Volume 24h:
$49
37%
Liquidity:
$23,364
9%
Open interest:
$129N/A

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Opinion

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 05d:08h:29m

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-08?

56%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 56¢ buys you 179 shares | Odds: 56% Total Payout: $179 | Net Profit: $79 Multiplier: 1.79x | ROI: 79% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Trade
56%
Yes 56¢No 45¢
1¢
$3,775
$52
1,347%
N/A
N/A
5d 8h 29m
Active
opinion

Bayer Leverkusen wins

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 8h 29m
Active
predict

B04

N/A
N/A
3¢
$3,809
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 10h 29m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
55.5%
Yes 56¢No 45¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 3¢
polymarket

1. FC Köln

23%
Yes 24¢No 78¢
2¢
$3,786
$78
0%
N/A
N/A
5d 8h 29m
Active
opinion

1. FC Köln wins

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 8h 29m
Active
predict

KOE

N/A
N/A
4¢
$3,657
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 10h 29m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
23%
Yes 24¢No 78¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 4¢
polymarket

Draw (1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen)

22%
Yes 23¢No 79¢
2¢
$3,976
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 8h 29m
Active
opinion

Draw

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 8h 29m
Active
predict

Draw

N/A
N/A
4¢
$4,362
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 10h 29m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 3¢Max: 4¢
Total markets: 9

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Bundesliga match between 1. FC Köln and Bayer 04 Leverkusen on November 8, 2026. Markets exist for Köln winning, Leverkusen winning, and the game ending in a draw. All platforms specify a 90-minute + stoppage time window for resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution logic, relying on official match statistics with clearly defined fallback procedures and handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (Bundesliga).

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled, win markets resolve 'No' and the draw market resolves 'Yes'.
  • Official statistics are the primary source; Flashscore, Sofascore, or consensus reporting are used as fallbacks if official data is unavailable within 2 hours.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, but no later than 24 hours after the match's conclusion, potentially resolving 50-50 if data remains unavailable.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 between 1. FC Köln and Bayer 04 Leverkusen.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 between 1. FC Köln and Bayer 04 Leverkusen.

Opinion

This market refers to the Bundesliga match between 1. FC Köln (KOL) and Bayer Leverkusen (BAY), scheduled for 2026-11-08 14:30 UTC. - KOL: If 1. FC Köln wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - BAY: If Bayer Leverkusen wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both KOL and BAY options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Bundesliga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.bundesliga.com/

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Opinion, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing risk, while prediction markets allow individuals to express their beliefs directly. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment diverges from expert analysis. The volume of $130 traded on this market suggests significant interest, and comparing these odds to those offered by sportsbooks can reveal valuable insights into market sentiment surrounding the Köln vs Leverkusen match.

Polymarket and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The differing prices on Polymarket and Opinion for this market can stem from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Köln vs Leverkusen match. Trading mechanisms also differ; Polymarket operates with a specific set of rules that may influence price discovery compared to Opinion. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform—$130 overall—isn't necessarily distributed evenly, potentially leading to price discrepancies. These factors contribute to the distinct probabilities observed across the two venues.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Köln vs Leverkusen match will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will be the basis for settlement. The current volume indicates strong interest in predicting the outcome of this match, with $130 traded to date.

Several signals could impact this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either 1. FC Köln or Bayer 04 Leverkusen would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence predictions. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as changes in venue or kickoff time, might also shift the probabilities. Monitoring sports news and team updates will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.