TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 7:39 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming DFB-Pokal game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 27, 2026 between 1. FC Köln and 1. FC Union Berlin.
This event is for the upcoming DFB-Pokal game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 27, 2026 between 1. FC Köln and 1. FC Union Berlin.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes diverge from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and real-time adjustments based on traders' beliefs. If sportsbook odds suggest a clear favorite, it's interesting to observe whether this market agrees or if traders perceive a different probability of either team winning. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions or access to unique information.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective forecast. The market's efficiency stems from the incentive for traders to accurately assess the probability, as profitable trades depend on correct predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Union Berlin match, as reported by a trusted sports news source. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts to traders holding shares in the winning outcome. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either 1. FC Köln or 1. FC Union Berlin could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match commentary from analysts, could also impact trading volume and price movements. Major upsets in other related matches could also influence traders' perceptions of team strength and potentially move this market.