TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:59 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between 1. FC Kaiserslautern and Hertha BSC, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "1. FC Kaiserslautern" if 1. FC Kaiserslautern are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Hertha BSC" if Hertha BSC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between 1. FC Kaiserslautern and Hertha BSC, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "1. FC Kaiserslautern" if 1. FC Kaiserslautern are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Hertha BSC" if Hertha BSC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, incorporating a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If many traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a team's chances, they can buy 'yes' shares, driving up the price and reflecting that belief. This dynamic can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, particularly as the event approaches, and potentially offering better value than those found at sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether 1. FC Kaiserslautern or Hertha BSC will score first. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the market price is a constantly evolving reflection of collective sentiment, driven by individual traders’ assessments of the teams' form, potential starting lineups, and other relevant factors.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Hertha BSC match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on widely accepted football statistics and game data. The final result will be determined by the official game statistics, and the market will settle accordingly.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either 1. FC Kaiserslautern or Hertha BSC would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in recent matches, could also influence trader sentiment. Pre-match announcements about starting lineups, tactical approaches, or even weather conditions could also move the market. Finally, any significant public endorsements or analyses from respected football commentators could sway traders’ beliefs and affect the price of shares in this market.