TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:55 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between 1. FC Heidenheim and FC Energie Cottbus, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "1. FC Heidenheim" if 1. FC Heidenheim are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Energie Cottbus" if FC Energie Cottbus are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between 1. FC Heidenheim and FC Energie Cottbus, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "1. FC Heidenheim" if 1. FC Heidenheim are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Energie Cottbus" if FC Energie Cottbus are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, being driven by collective prediction, tends to more closely reflect the true probabilities as perceived by a diverse group of traders. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, prediction markets dynamically adjust as new information and opinions emerge, potentially leading to more accurate forecasts. It’s common to see differences in implied probabilities between this market and sportsbook offerings, especially as the event draws closer.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether 1. FC Heidenheim or FC Energie Cottbus will score first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share ranges from 0 to 100, where a price of 50 represents a 50% probability. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand, with traders acting as both market makers and speculators. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team officially scores the first goal in the match between 1. FC Heidenheim and FC Energie Cottbus. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on widely accepted sports data sources. Traders should ensure their positions are aligned with the expected result before the resolution date to maximize potential gains.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players, or changes in coaching strategies could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions impacting the match could also play a role. Furthermore, general sentiment and public perception surrounding each team’s performance, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can drive trading volume and price fluctuations. A surprising result in a related match involving either team could also create movement in this market, as traders adjust their expectations.