TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 4:27 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game between 1. FC Heidenheim and 1. FC Kaiserslautern, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the 1. FC Heidenheim vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game between 1. FC Heidenheim and 1. FC Kaiserslautern, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the 1. FC Heidenheim vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it's important to note that sportsbooks and this market have different user bases and information sources, leading to potential differences in perceived probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the 1. FC Heidenheim vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern match will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded score at the conclusion of the game, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators, could also impact trading volume and prices. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion or betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks could also be reflected in this market. A surprising result in a related match could also influence traders’ expectations and move the market.