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1. FC Heidenheim vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of 1. FC Heidenheim vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern?

Volume:
$252,541

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 2:24 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$49,499
N/A
N/A
$27,018
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (1. FC Heidenheim vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,366
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Heidenheim

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,307
N/A
N/A
$37,374
Settled
No
polymarket

1. FC Heidenheim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49,138
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kaiserslautern

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,877
N/A
N/A
$17,482
Settled
No
polymarket

1. FC Kaiserslautern

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,354
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a 2. Bundesliga soccer match between 1. FC Heidenheim and 1. FC Kaiserslautern on October 9, 2026. Markets exist for Heidenheim winning, Kaiserslautern winning, or the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi consistently define resolution based on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time, and both have a similar fallback mechanism for data sourcing and cancellation scenarios.Primary resolution logic: Official Bundesliga statistics (governing body/event organizers), with fallback to Flashscore and then Sofascore.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the match is canceled without a reschedule, win/loss markets resolve to 'No', and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Extra Time/Penalties: Results from extra time or penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution.
Timing: Markets will resolve within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official or fallback data becomes available, whichever is later.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between 1. FC Heidenheim and 1. FC Kaiserslautern.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Heidenheim vs Kaiserslautern professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Heidenheim win, Kaiserslautern win, or a tied result. If the match concludes with Heidenheim winning, the Heidenheim market resolves to Yes. If Kaiserslautern wins, the Kaiserslautern market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootout results, focusing strictly on the standing at the end of regular time including stoppage minutes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of information than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there’s strong public sentiment or inside information not yet reflected in traditional odds. The spread between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds can sometimes be significant, offering potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders in this market.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Heidenheim vs. Kaiserslautern match can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can all influence price discovery. Differences in the types of traders participating on each platform – for example, more sophisticated or casual bettors – can also lead to varying valuations. Furthermore, the specific market structures on Polymarket and Kalshi might contribute to price discrepancies. These variations are normal and reflect the independent price-setting mechanisms of each venue.