TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?
kalshi

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Volume:
$16,387,755

David Crowley

 - Kalshi

David Crowley - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 12, 7:18 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

David Crowley

View
100%
95%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,111,464
N/A
N/A
$1,953,349
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Francesca Hong

View
0%
95%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,274,073
N/A
N/A
$2,080,019
Settled
No
kalshi

Mandela Barnes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$780,532
N/A
N/A
$240,647
Settled
No
kalshi

Sara Rodriguez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$389,828
N/A
N/A
$145,559
Settled
No
kalshi

Kelda Roys

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$329,373
N/A
N/A
$211,914
Settled
No
kalshi

Brett Hulsey

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$238,971
N/A
N/A
$229,965
Settled
No
kalshi

Joel Brennan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$137,647
N/A
N/A
$108,863
Settled
No
kalshi

Tony Evers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$75,046
N/A
N/A
$63,984
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Kaul

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,683
N/A
N/A
$14,925
Settled
No
kalshi

Ben Wikler

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,020
N/A
N/A
$14,860
Settled
No
kalshi

Missy Hughes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,120
N/A
N/A
$12,098
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether David Crowley will become the Democratic nominee for Governor of Wisconsin in the 2026 election on Kalshi, with the current probability set at 90.0% for Crowley and 9.8% for Francesca Hong. The market resolution will be determined by the official Democratic Party nomination outcome. Watch for developments leading up to the nomination deadline on August 31, 2026, which will confirm the party's selected candidate for the gubernatorial race.

Kalshi

If Tony Evers wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Josh Kaul wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mandela Barnes wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Francesca Hong wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Missy Hughes wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brett Hulsey wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kelda Roys wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sara Rodriguez wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Crowley wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ben Wikler wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joel Brennan wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional polling averages because traders incorporate campaign momentum, fundraising data, and insider information that polls may lag. While polls capture voter preference at a single moment, prediction markets aggregate continuous real-money bets that reflect evolving expectations. For the Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee race, market odds may lead or trail polling depending on whether traders anticipate shifts in candidate viability, endorsement patterns, or turnout dynamics. Comparing Kalshi probabilities to published polls reveals whether the market is pricing in factors beyond current survey snapshots.

The Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee market resolves on Aug 31, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official outcome of the Wisconsin Democratic primary or nominating process, whichever mechanism the state party uses to select its gubernatorial nominee. The market will settle based on authoritative announcements from the Wisconsin Democratic Party or certified election results. Traders should monitor state party timelines and procedural rules to understand the exact resolution trigger and timing.

Key catalysts for Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee odds include candidate endorsements from party leaders and labor unions, debate performances, fundraising announcements, and primary polling releases. Campaign staff changes, media coverage of candidate records, and grassroots organizing momentum can shift trader expectations. National Democratic Party attention and resources directed to Wisconsin races may boost or diminish specific candidates. Unexpected candidate withdrawals or entry announcements will trigger sharp repricing. Local economic news, state legislative developments, and incumbent Governor Evers' positioning could also influence perceptions of which nominee has the strongest general-election viability.