TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.3b

24H VOL:

$107,419,736

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,026,835

471,138

Markets across

35,775

events

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2,926

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5

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Will Tempo launch a token by ___ ?
polymarket
predict
opinion

Will Tempo launch a token by 2028-01-01?

Total volume:
$8,911,987
Volume 24h:
$0
100%
Liquidity:
$17,404
70%
Open interest:
$14,074N/A

December 31, 2027

 - Polymarket

December 31, 2027 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2028

Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?

26%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 26¢ buys you 385 shares | Odds: 26% Total Payout: $385 | Net Profit: $285 Multiplier: 3.85x | ROI: 285% | APY: 203% 443 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

December 31, 2027

Trade
26%
3%
Yes 26¢No 75¢
1¢
$2,004
$21,334
0%
0%
N/A
1y 2mo 2w
active
opinion

December 31, 2026

Trade
55%
Yes 15.9¢No 99.2¢
15.1¢
N/A
$787,780
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 2w 2d
active
polymarket

December 31, 2026

Trade
4%
Yes 5¢No 97¢
2¢
$7,850
$177,219
0%
0.02%
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
active
predict

December 31, 2026

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
$4,362
$73,458
0%
0.4%
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4%
Yes 8.3¢No 97.7¢
Avg: 6¢Max: 15.1¢
opinion

March 31, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,785,506
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 2d
No
opinion

June 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$847,989
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 2d
No
opinion

September 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$427,496
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 2d
No
polymarket

September 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$305,033
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

September 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$3,187
$52,378
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
No
polymarket

June 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$217,261
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

March 31, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$189,625
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
No
predict

June 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,205
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
No
polymarket

December 31, 2025

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,704
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
No
Total markets: 13

Intro

This market tracks whether Tempo, a social media platform, will launch a governance token by a specific date. Currently, the consensus probability of Tempo launching a token by December 31, 2026 is 54.6%, with a 26.5% probability of launch by December 31, 2027. This aggregated view combines data from Polymarket, Predict, and Opinion, and will be resolved based on information from Tempo official sources and consensus of credible reporting. Keep an eye on Tempo’s official communications regarding token development as we approach the January 1, 2028 resolution date estimate.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize identical resolution criteria regarding the launch of a transferable token and rely on Tempo's announcements alongside credible reporting.Primary resolution logic: Tempo official sources and consensus of credible reporting

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is triggered by the official launch of a governance token by Tempo.
  • The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable to qualify.
  • Announcements of a token launch are insufficient; actual launch and tradability are required.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Airdrops: An airdrop of a token, without subsequent public tradability on an exchange, would not resolve the market to 'Yes'.
  • Testnet Tokens: Tokens launched solely on a testnet are not considered publicly transferable and tradable and would not resolve the market to 'Yes'.
  • Delayed Tradability: If a token is announced and launched on the specified date, but trading doesn't begin until after 11:59 PM ET, it would resolve to 'No'.
Timing: Resolution will occur upon Tempo's official announcement of a publicly transferable and tradable token launch, or on the specified date if no launch occurs, determined by 11:59 PM ET.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tempo (https://tempo.xyz/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tempo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tempo (https://tempo.xyz/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tempo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Opinion

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tempo (https://tempo.xyz/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tempo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks the Tempo token launch market across multiple prediction platforms, providing a consensus view of whether Tempo will launch a token by Jan 1, 2028. Currently, the aggregated volume for this market is $8,911,987, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. By combining data from Polymarket and Predict, we aim to offer a comprehensive assessment of market sentiment. Polymarket currently favors Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027? at 25.5%, while Predict leans toward Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026? at 4.0%.

Prediction market odds represent the collective wisdom of traders regarding the probability of a future event. In the case of this market, the implied probability of a Tempo token launch differs from any current 'spot price' expectation, as a token doesn't yet exist. Instead, the odds reflect expectations about Tempo's future actions and the likelihood of a successful token launch. These probabilities are dynamic and change based on new information and trading activity, offering a forward-looking perspective not found in traditional markets. The current volume of $8,911,987 demonstrates significant interest in this event.

On Polymarket, this market is priced by traders responding to news and developments related to Tempo. On Predict, a different set of traders may weigh information differently, leading to varying probabilities. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This can be due to differing user bases, liquidity levels, or interpretations of the same information. For example, one platform might be more sensitive to technical analysis, while the other prioritizes news events. The 21.5 percentage point difference in implied probabilities highlights these diverging viewpoints, even though both platforms address the same question regarding the Tempo token launch.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2028, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether Tempo has officially launched a token accessible for public trading before the resolution date. The outcome will be determined by a review of Tempo’s official announcements, blockchain data, and reputable news sources to confirm the token’s existence and availability. The current trading volume of $8,911,987 suggests strong interest in this event’s outcome.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Official announcements from Tempo regarding token development or launch plans would be major catalysts. Positive news about Tempo’s technology, partnerships, or regulatory approvals could increase the probability of a launch, driving up prices. Conversely, negative news, such as development delays, security concerns, or regulatory hurdles, could decrease the probability and lower prices. Broader market trends in the cryptocurrency space and overall investor sentiment could also influence trading activity in this market, with a resolution date of Jan 1, 2028 approaching.