TOTAL VOLUME:

$143b

24H VOL:

$111,424,783

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,661,467,257

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,630,632,565

494,234

Markets across

37,330

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,871

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Will Polymarket launch their official token by _?
predict
opinion

Will Polymarket launch their official token by _?

Total volume:
$162,745,337
Volume 24h:
$23,997
100%
Liquidity:
$282,117
4%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

June 30, 2027

 - Predict

June 30, 2027 - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jul 1, 2027

Will Polymarket launch their official token by June 30, 2027?

24%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 23.5¢ buys you 426 shares | Odds: 24% Total Payout: $426 | Net Profit: $326 Multiplier: 4.26x | ROI: 326% High Projected APY: 676% 257 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

June 30, 2027

Trade
24%
2%
Yes 23.5¢No 76.6¢
0.1¢
$60,268
$1,759,220
0.06%
6%
N/A
8mo 2w 3d
active
predict

March 31, 2027

Trade
14%
Yes 14.3¢No 85.8¢
0.1¢
$40,523
$1,501,653
0.14%
8%
N/A
8mo 2w 3d
active
predict

December 31, 2026

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 4¢No 96.1¢
0.1¢
$66,664
$2,445,767
0.86%
7%
N/A
8mo 2w 3d
active
opinion

December 31, 2026

Trade
2%
Yes 25.9¢No 98.5¢
24.4¢
N/A
$9,779,692
0%
0.01%
N/A
2mo 2w 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4%
Yes 15¢No 97.3¢
Avg: 12.3¢Max: 24.4¢
opinion

December 31, 2025

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98,039,730
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 2d
No
opinion

March 31, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,768,337
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 2d
No
opinion

June 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,950,316
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 2d
No
opinion

September 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,413,172
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 2d
No
predict

September 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$51,101
$2,350,800
N/A
N/A
N/A
8mo 2w 3d
Yes
predict

July 31st, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$63,561
$3,121,422
N/A
N/A
N/A
8mo 2w 3d
Yes
predict

June 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,615,228
N/A
N/A
N/A
8mo 2w 3d
Yes
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether Polymarket will launch a publicly transferable and tradable token by June 30, 2027. Currently, the consensus probability of this occurring, aggregated from Predict and Opinion, is 21.0%. The second most likely outcome, that Polymarket will launch their token by December 31, 2026, has a 15.0% probability. Resolution will be based on official communications from Polymarket, with credible third-party reporting used if necessary. Keep an eye on Polymarket’s official channels leading up to the resolution date estimate of July 1, 2027, to see if any announcements are made regarding a token launch.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core criteria for determining a successful token launch, focusing on public transferability and tradability.Primary resolution logic: Official communications from Polymarket (including blog posts, social channels, or documentation). A consensus of credible third-party reporting may be used if necessary.

Core resolution logic:

  • Polymarket must officially launch a token.
  • The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable.
  • Announcements alone do not qualify.
  • Claim-only tokens do not qualify.
  • Utility tokens used within the product (e.g., CTF shares) do not qualify.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Delayed Launch: If a token is announced before the deadline but the actual launch (transferability/tradability) occurs after, the market resolves to 'No'.
  • Partial Launch: A limited launch to a select group of users without full public access does not qualify.
Timing: Markets will resolve to 'Yes' if the token is launched by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, they resolve to 'No'.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Predict

This is a market about the launch of Polymarket’s official token, even if it has no utility initially and is not explicitly branded as a “governance” token, as long as it is promoted and presented as the official token for the Polymarket product. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket officially launches their official token by the date listed in the title at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. Claim-only tokens do not qualify. Utility tokens that serve a purpose within the product without being the brand's official token will not count toward resolution of this market. Those include: ERC-1155 or ERC-20 tokens used to represent CTF shares or other user positions in markets inside the product or any USD-pegged collateral token. The primary resolution source will be official communications from Polymarket (including blog posts, social channels, or documentation). A consensus of credible third-party reporting may be used if necessary.

Opinion

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Polymarket officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Polymarket (https://x.com/Polymarket), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Predict and Opinion, this dashboard tracks the aggregate sentiment surrounding the potential launch of Polymarket’s official token. Currently, the total volume across both platforms is $162,745,337, with $23,201 traded in the last 24 hours. This indicates considerable interest in the question of whether Polymarket will release its token by the specified date. The Polymarket token launch market provides a consensus view derived from these combined exchanges, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders on both venues. Predict currently favors Will Polymarket launch their official token by June 30, 2027? at 23.5%, while Opinion leans toward December 31, 2026 at 1.5%.

Unlike traditional markets focused on current asset prices, this market deals with the probability of a future event – the launch of the Polymarket token. Therefore, a direct comparison to spot prices isn’t applicable. Instead, the odds reflect traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of success, incorporating information not readily available in current pricing. A higher price on Predict or Opinion suggests a greater perceived chance of a token launch, effectively acting as a forward-looking indicator. The current price on this market represents the market’s collective forecast, adjusted continuously by traders’ actions.

Prices for this market can vary between Predict and Opinion due to differences in user base, trading activity, and perceived information advantages. Predict and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a distinct set of traders with varying risk appetites and access to information, leading to differing interpretations of the same underlying event. For example, one platform might have a higher concentration of traders closely following Polymarket’s development team, while the other may be more influenced by broader crypto market sentiment. These factors contribute to the price spread of 22.0 observed between the two platforms.

This market resolves around Jul 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether Polymarket has officially launched its token before that date, as determined by publicly available information and announcements from Polymarket. The outcome will be based on verifiable evidence, ensuring a transparent and objective determination. Traders should monitor official Polymarket channels for updates and announcements leading up to the resolution date.

Several events could significantly impact this market. Official announcements from Polymarket regarding token development, regulatory approvals, or partnership news would be major catalysts. Positive developments, such as a confirmed launch date or successful testing of the token, would likely increase the price. Conversely, negative news, like regulatory hurdles or technical delays, could decrease it. Broader market trends in the cryptocurrency space and the overall health of the DeFi sector could also influence trader sentiment and, subsequently, the price of this market.